CHAPTER 4: THE DOCTRINE OF PROBABILITY
- Brandon Cawood

- Feb 8
- 11 min read
Updated: Feb 18
The stadium is packed from floor to rafters. There isn’t an empty seat in the building. Lasers sweep across the arena as music pounds through the speakers.
Miles rises from below the floor.
The crowd erupts.
Miles stands there alone, stoic, soaking it in.
Everyone is on their feet as the platform locks into place in the center of the stage.
But not her.
She doesn’t clap.
She doesn’t make a sound.
She only observes.
Every person around her is trying desperately to capture a photo or a video with their phone in hopes to share with the world that they are at this event. THE event.
Lights roll over the crowd like a rock concert.
They chant his name like he’s the Messiah.
In the middle of this circus, Sam stays in her seat.
Notebook in her lap.
Pen tapping against the cover.
Wishing she could be anywhere else.
If it wasn’t for Liz calling in sick today, that is where she would be.
Anywhere but here.
From fifty yards away, the man on stage looks different from the boy she used to know.
Clean-cut. Tailored suit. Poised and polished.
She remembers him in baggy jeans. Plaid button-down over a Nirvana shirt. Shoes that always looked three years old.
The first time he introduced himself to her in the second grade, after she had just moved to town from Texas, he was so nervous he misspoke his name, earning the nickname Mouse. After that year the name stuck—and he wore it like a badge of honor.
He used to laugh with his whole body. Loud. Uncontained.
She would always shoot him a look that said, you are so annoying.
But the way his shaggy hair danced around his face always made her break, and she’d end up laughing too.
Now, the projection of him on the screens turns him into something else.
Generic. Untouchable.
A product.
She tells herself that’s all he is now.
And she hates the small part of her still searching his face for the boy she used to know.
The crowd quiets almost instantly when Miles raises a hand.
He begins to speak.
“For as long as mankind has been building tools, developing systems, bridging the gap between what is possible and what is imaginary, we’ve chased progress.”
“But woven into every real advancement is the same responsibility.”
“ Safety.”
Sam almost laughs out loud.
She hasn’t associated Holly Creek with safety in years.
Not since the factories.
The crime.
Sirens replacing the cicadas’ song on summer nights.
Not since… Jonathan.
She folds her arms tight across her chest.
She has gone over a decade avoiding covering one of his ridiculous events.
She’s starting to remember why.
Miles continues.“Not safety in theory. Not safety promised after the fact. Safety in the moment something goes wrong.”
His voice is different than she remembers. Deeper now. Slower. Measured.
Like every word has been rehearsed.
The boy she knew used to talk too fast when he got excited. Words tripping over each other. Ideas spilling out before he could organize them.
That was before everything fell apart.
Before he lost his mother.
And before the fire.
A clean title appears on the screens behind Miles as a thirty-foot hologram of the sleek wearable device materializes beside him on the stage.
“Let me introduce the Integrated Response Intelligence System, or as I like to call her… IRIS.”
A collective gasp ripples through the crowd.
“Ten years ago, I began building something different,” Miles says. “Not another device asking for your attention. I built a safeguard. A companion.”
Sam stops tapping her pen.
“IRIS is a fully self-contained, wearable AI system designed to operate alongside a single user. It calibrates to the user’s DNA and neural signature at activation. It cannot be transferred, sold, or shared. It is not cloud-dependent. It does not require constant connectivity.”
“Once activated, IRIS belongs to you. And only you.”
He begins pacing slowly.
“IRIS monitors vitals in real time. Heart rate. Blood oxygen. Neural stress. Environmental conditions. Behavioral patterns. It learns how you move, how you think, how you respond to the world.”
“Every second, it processes billions of data points in the background, modeling outcomes before you ever encounter them.”
Behind him a new title appears on the screens.
“This is made possible by the Predictive Field Engine. The PFE does what navigation software does for traffic. It predicts risk. Anticipates obstacles. Reroutes you away from harm. It warns you. Advises you.”
“In controlled trials, the Predictive Field Engine has reduced preventable injury by more than seventy-five percent.”
The crowd murmurs in awe.
Sam writes a line in her notebook.
Companion… or surveillance?
She underlines it and looks back to the stage.
“That alone would justify its existence,” Miles says. “But it wasn’t enough for me.”
He pauses.
“Because prediction only works if you still have time to react.”
He is interrupted by an explosive crack from the scaffolding above the stage.
Metal grinds against metal as sparks begin to fly.
The building shudders.
A rush of fear and panic spreads throughout the crowd.
The lighting rig flickers violently.
Sparks rain down as wires are pulled apart under the weight of the falling structure.
Two massive speakers tear free, dropping straight toward Miles.
Sam doesn’t think.
“NO!” she screams in horror.
But it’s too late.
The speakers slam into the stage sending a thunderous boom through the arena.
Dust and debris fill the space where Miles stood.
The stadium goes silent.
No one can grasp what they just watched.
Did they just witness the death of Miles Tanner?
Everyone is at a loss for words.
Someone screams to call 911.
Panic sets in as sporadic conversations break out across the stadium.
A child begins to cry.
Suddenly, the remaining speakers hum to life with momentary feedback.
Everyone pauses, expecting an evacuation announcement—directions on what to do next.
And then… a voice—
“As I was saying, prediction only works if you have time to react.”
“And sometimes… you don’t.”
Twenty-five feet from the wreckage stands Miles.
Untouched.
Unharmed.
Safe.
For a moment, no one moves.
No applause. No cheering.
Just the sound of thousands of people trying to understand what they just saw.
Sam’s blood begins to boil.
This wasn’t an accident.
This was spectacle.
She immediately regrets letting her emotions take control.
“So I asked a harder question,” Miles continues. “What if safety didn’t require reaction at all?
What if the system didn’t just predict danger… what if it removed you from it?”
Shouting begins. People are standing. Some are crying.
Half the crowd is convinced it’s a trick.
The other half looks terrified.
Miles scans the room, raising both hands in a calming gesture.
“I know what you just witnessed is confusing,” he says, voice steady, measured. “You’re feeling uncomfortable… maybe even scared. But I need you to hear me—you are all safe.”
He takes a deep breath and motions for the crowd to do the same.
“No one in this audience was ever in danger.”
That line lands differently.
“This demonstration was staged,” he continues. “Every structural variable was controlled. Every trajectory modeled. Every outcome calculated.”
His tone never wavers.
“The only person who was in any danger, was me.”
A ripple moves through the crowd.
“What you saw was not an illusion. It wasn’t trickery. It wasn’t special effects.”
He lets the silence stretch just long enough.
“You all just became the first people in history to witness an autonomous physical extraction.”
A small pause.
“You may know it as… teleportation.”
The word hangs in the air.
And just like that, fear gives way to awe.
“This is made possible by the Spatial Resonance System. SRS is the next evolution of IRIS.” “When IRIS determines a user is facing imminent physical harm, and no safe outcome exists through movement or intervention alone, SRS is authorized to act.”
“Instantly.”
“Autonomously.”
“Without user input.”
“Its purpose is simple."
"Preserve life.”
“In its earliest form, SRS enables a rapid extraction. Like the one you just witnessed. Removing a user from a collapsing structure. An oncoming impact. A lethal environment.”
“The event still happens.”
“You’re just no longer there.”
The crowd is vibrating now. Half stunned. Half inspired.
Sam feels sick.
“This technology has applications far beyond consumer use,” Miles continues. “Emergency response. Disaster relief. Law enforcement. Military operations.”
“But I want to be clear. SRS is not ready for release. It is still undergoing validation, stress testing, and ethical review. We will work hand in hand with the government to make sure every safeguard is in place, with clear limitations and restrictions. ”
“But make no mistake.”
“This is not a question of if.”
“It’s a question of when.”
“For the first time in human history, we are not just predicting harm.”
“We are stepping out of its way.”
He scans the crowd.
“IRIS is not about changing who you are.”
“It’s about making sure you live long enough to find out.”
He pauses for a beat, letting that last note sink in.
Then Miles simply concludes with, “Thank you.”
The stadium erupts in applause.
Sam doesn’t clap.
She isn’t impressed.
If anything, she’s furious.
The approved questions sheet in her lap is knocked to the floor.
She doesn’t bother trying to pick it up.
If she’s being forced to be here, she isn’t playing by his rules.
People around her whisper about how he saved Holly Creek. Revitalized it. Put it on the map.
She wonders if any of them knew it when the map still had dirt roads and that single blinking stoplight.
Before grief swallowed a small house at the edge of town and never really let go.
As the sound of the crowd begins to die down, the production team takes their places with microphones in hand as Miles opens up the floor for questions.
A hand shoots up from the press pit.
“Mr. Tanner,” a reporter calls out, barely waiting for the mic to reach him. “How is that even possible? And… Can someone use this to come and go wherever they want?”
Miles doesn’t rush his answer.
“That’s a great question,” he replies, calm and measured. “And the short answer is no.”
He begins to pace slowly.
“SRS does not function as a free-movement system. It is not transportation. It is not travel. It is not a convenience feature.”
“It is a last-resort safety protocol.”
“Last resort?” Sam says under her breath.
“That’s what people always say right before they normalize something.”
Miles gestures toward the wreckage on the stage behind him.
“SRS only activates when IRIS determines the probability of survival in your current location has dropped below a safe threshold. It moves a user the minimum distance required to avoid immediate harm. No farther.”
“The wearer cannot manually trigger it. They cannot direct it. They cannot use it to go wherever they want. That would present ethical concerns and public safety risks we are not willing to accept.”
He lets that land.
“I designed IRIS,” he continues, “but the optimization of this process has come from the AI itself. It determines the safest possible outcome based on real-time environmental data and probability modeling.”
Another hand goes up quickly.
“So it overrides your will?” a woman asks. “What if someone doesn’t want it to act?”
Miles nods slightly, like he expected this one.
“For standard IRIS functions,” he says, “everything remains advisory. Warnings. Guidance. Predictive routing. The user always has final say.”
“But SRS operates under a different rule set.”
“When IRIS determines that harm is imminent and survival probability is critically low, SRS is authorized to act autonomously. In those moments, hesitation costs lives.”
Sam writes down, authorized by who??
Her pen presses hard against the paper.
“We are still defining the boundaries of all of these parameters," he continues. “And I want to be transparent—if we cannot establish safeguards that meet the highest standards, SRS may never be released for public use.”
“But we are committed to doing the work. Carefully and responsibly.”
The tension in the room begins to lose its grip.
It’s landing.
For everyone, but Sam.
A correspondent from CNN, Barry Butler, is handed a microphone next. With a smile on his face he says, “Mr. Tanner… is it alright if I call you Miles?”
Miles gives him a nod with a gentle smile.
“So does this thing, the um IRIS. Does it turn you into Ironman or something?”
A collective chuckle rolls through the crowd.
Miles smiles. “Barry, let me put it this way. If Tony Stark had IRIS… he wouldn’t need the suit.”
That really gets the crowd going.
Next, a journalist from News Weekly asks, “When can we expect this to be rolled out to the public?”
Miles meets her gaze. “Great question, Michelle. It is our goal to have a consumer model ready for launch by Q3 of next year. Final timelines for the SRS are still being determined but if and when the SRS is ready, we will roll out updates to all qualifying units.”
Sam stares at the stage.
She wrestles with whether or not she’s going to ask a question.
Part of her wants to walk away, write the article, and be done with it.
But something won’t let her.
Maybe it’s the environmentalist in her.
Maybe it’s the anger over what his company did to her town.
But deep down, the truth is something more, nuanced.
It’s not about factories.
Or traffic.
Or the crime statistics.
It’s the fact that he—the boy she used to watch from across the classroom, pretending she didn’t care—the one she secretly hoped would walk back into town one day like nothing had changed…
Her Mouse… is gone.
And the man standing on that stage feels like the person responsible for taking him away.
Her jaw tightens.
Before she can second-guess herself…
Sam stands and a microphone is placed in her hand.
The audience directs their attention to her.
Before she speaks Miles' gaze meets her own.
For a moment, his smile stays fixed.
Then recognition.
For a split second, something flickers behind his eyes.
But just as quickly, it’s gone.
There’s something unnatural about the way he stares at her.
But she doesn’t falter.
With a confidence that could rival Miles’ own, Sam raises the microphone.
“Mr. Tanner,” she says, voice steady even though her pulse isn’t,
“It’s true you grew up here in Holly Creek, correct?”
Miles’ expression doesn't waiver. He only nods.
Sam continues, “You’ve reshaped this town in ways most people could never imagine. I’m sure you are very proud, as must be your family.”
This one stings.
She isn’t following the rules. This is not on the approved list.
No one ever talks about his family. No one.
“I’m curious… if your younger self were standing here now—if he could see all that you’ve created— what would he say about the man that you’ve become?”
Miles doesn’t move.
He only stares.
The crowd waits anxiously for a response.
He takes a breath.
Sam can tell something is happening behind that… that mask, even if she can’t see it on his face.
The silence stalls in the room.
But he never breaks.
And then he finally responds.
“Hello Samantha. It’s good to see you.”
He shows no shift in expression.
He only speaks.
Hearing her name come from his mouth shakes something loose inside her.
She tries to keep it intact, but the crack is undeniable.
“I appreciate the question,” Miles answers.
“It’s true, I grew up here.”
He lets the words hang.
“Holly Creek shaped me in ways I’ll always carry. There are reasons I came back.”
His cadence falters—just slightly.
“And if I’m being honest,” he continues, “I’m still figuring out exactly what those reasons are.”
The composure settles back into place.
A flicker of something passes behind his eyes—gone before Sam can interpret it.
“But you don’t get where NEURON Systems is by dwelling on the past,” he says, voice returning to its measured cadence.
“You get there by chasing the future.”
He scans the crowd and gives them all a humble smile.
“And with that, I’m afraid we’re out of time.”
“Thank you all for being here. It has been an honor.”
Miles begins to walk back to the platform.
Security teams are already moving.
Production staff begin speaking into headsets.
All across the stadium, phones begin to ring.
The platform descends as Sam watches him disappear.
She should feel satisfied.
Even though he showed no signs, she knows she hit a nerve.
But the damage wasn’t exclusive.
What she almost saw didn’t bring relief.
It triggered something she had spent years trying to bury.
She hates that it still matters.
And for the first time all night, she suspects that somewhere inside that polished shell of a man… lives a Mouse.



Enjoyed the shift in perspective and leaving bread crumbs to more plot about his past.
Loved the new introduction of Sam! It brought back more details of his past which I loved. I also love her concerns about the technology, specifically the questions she is asking herself. And, WOW, about the SRS! That is crazy. I see it being useful, but also very dangerous. And this was created by IRIS? So that in interesting as well….